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Option prices when research favours one asset

Question

Two assets currently have identical binomial trees for their future prices, but your research team believes one of them is a much better investment. How do the prices of options on the two compare?

Short answer

They are identical. Option prices come from replication on the tree, which uses only the possible future prices and the interest rate; the real-world probabilities, and so any view about expected returns, do not enter.

Adapted from Joshi, Denson & Downes, Quant Job Interview Questions and Answers, Q2.54, p.21; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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