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Rug flaws on three square yards in exponential form

Question

Flaws in Gabe's rugs occur as a Poisson process averaging 44 per square yard. The chance that a 33-square-yard sample has one or more flaws can be written as 1+aeb1+\dfrac{a}{e^b}. What is a+ba+b?

Short answer

1111. The flaw count on 33 square yards is Poisson with mean 1212, so P(≥1)=1−e−12\mathbb{P}(\ge1)=1-e^{-12}. That gives a=−1a=-1, b=12b=12 and a+b=11a+b=11.

Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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