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Probability, Statistics and Financial Data / Discrete Random Variables

Derivation — Means and Variances of the Named Distributions

Random Variables and Probability Mass Functions introduced the Bernoulli, Binomial, Geometric, and Poisson PMFs by name; Expectation, Mean, and Variance and Functions of Random Variables built the machinery to compute moments from any PMF. This sub-note carries the algebra to its conclusion: closed-form mean and variance for all four named distributions, derived from first principles rather than quoted. The Binomial derivation is the pedagogical centrepiece — writing it as a sum of nn independent Bernoulli indicators turns an intractable-looking direct sum into two lines, and is the template used throughout the vault whenever a count variable can be decomposed into simpler pieces.
Learning objectives. By the end of this note you should be able to:
  • derive E[X]\mathbb{E}[X] and Var(X)\text{Var}(X) for a Bernoulli random variable directly from the definition;
  • decompose a Binomial random variable as a sum of independent Bernoulli indicators and use linearity (and independence) to get its mean and variance in two lines;
  • derive the Geometric mean and variance using a self-similarity ("memorylessness") trick;
  • derive the Poisson mean and variance directly from the exponential series.

In this lesson

  1. Bernoulli
  2. Binomial — the sum-of-indicators trick
  3. Geometric — the self-similarity trick
  4. Poisson — direct summation via the exponential series

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