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Jensen's inequality and convexity in pricing

Question

State Jensen's inequality and describe why it matters in finance.

Short answer

For convex ff, E[f(X)]≥f(E[X])E[f(X)]\ge f(E[X]) (reversed for concave ff). Option payoffs are convex, so an option is worth more than its payoff evaluated at the expected price, and that gap (time value) grows with volatility. It also explains convexity adjustments in rates (e.g. futures versus forwards, CMS) and why expected log return lies below the log of expected return.

Adapted from Wilmott, Frequently Asked Questions in Quantitative Finance, FAQ 21, p.97; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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