Expected complete groups of four in a random graph
Question
Twelve bulbs are arranged on a circle and every pair is joined by a wire. Each wire is independently live with probability . Call a set of bulbs fully connected if every pair inside it is joined by a live wire. What is the expected number of fully connected sets of exactly bulbs?
Short answer
. There are sets of four bulbs, and a given set is fully connected when all of its wires are live, which has probability . Linearity of expectation gives .
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