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Sign of a binary option's sensitivity to vol

Question

If volatility rises, what happens to the price of a European digital that pays a fixed sum when the stock ends above the strike? Explain both intuitively and with a formal derivation.

Short answer

It can go either way: vega is negative in the money and positive out of the money. With price e−rTN(d2)e^{-rT}N(d_2) and ∂d2/∂σ=−d1/σ\partial d_2/\partial\sigma = -d_1/\sigma, vega =−e−rTϕ(d2) d1/σ= -e^{-rT}\phi(d_2)\,d_1/\sigma. Intuitively, extra volatility threatens a digital that is already likely to pay but gives an unlikely one a better chance; vega is zero where d1=0d_1 = 0, slightly below the strike.

Adapted from Crack, Heard on the Street, Q2.11, p.24; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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