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Fixed versus random volatility with the same mean

Question

Compare two prices for the same European call. In one, volatility is a constant 30%30\%. In the other, volatility is random (independent of the stock) with an average of 30%30\%. Which call is more valuable?

Short answer

It depends on moneyness: at the money they are almost equal, away from the money the random-volatility call is worth more. With independent random volatility the price is E[C(σ)]\mathbb{E}[C(\sigma)]. Near the money C≈0.4 σSTC\approx0.4\,\sigma S\sqrt T is almost linear in σ\sigma, so averaging changes little; for in- or out-of-the-money calls CC is convex in σ\sigma (positive volga), so by Jensen E[C(σ)]>C(30%)\mathbb{E}[C(\sigma)]>C(30\%).

Adapted from Zhou, A Practical Guide to Quantitative Finance Interviews, sec. 6.2 The Greeks, 'Vega B', p.156; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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