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Stochastic Calculus / Change of Measure, Girsanov, and Risk-Neutral Pricing

Risk-Neutral Pricing and the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing

Black-Scholes prices a European call. But when can any claim — a barrier option, an Asian average, a variance swap — be priced and hedged? The Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP) gives the answer: no-arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of an equivalent martingale measure (EMM), and market completeness is equivalent to the EMM being unique. Under the EMM the discounted stock price is a martingale, and the arbitrage-free price of any replicable claim is just a discounted expectation under Q\mathbb{Q}.
This is not an abstraction — the martingale condition is exactly what constrains the drift to rr (the Girsanov shift), and uniqueness of the EMM is exactly what makes a replicating portfolio constructible from the Brownian filtration. Both properties are consequences of Girsanov's theorem and the martingale representation theorem.
Learning objectives. By the end of this note you should be able to:
  • Define equivalent martingale measure, no-arbitrage, and market completeness.
  • State Lawler's Theorem 5.6.1 (risk-neutral pricing) and its three assumptions.
  • Explain why the discounted portfolio value V~t\tilde{V}_t must be a Q\mathbb{Q}-supermartingale under any admissible self-financing strategy.
  • Derive the hedging ratios ata_t and btb_t from the martingale representation (Assumption 3).
  • Identify the FTAP's two directions (no-arb ⇔\Leftrightarrow EMM exists; completeness ⇔\Leftrightarrow EMM unique) and where Lawler's treatment sits.

In this lesson

  1. The Market Model
  2. Constructing the EMM via Girsanov
  3. The Contingent Claim and the No-Arbitrage Price
  4. Proof Sketch
  5. Assumption 3 and Completeness
  6. Pathological Portfolios and Why Non-Negativity Matters

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