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Stochastic Calculus / Change of Measure, Girsanov, and Risk-Neutral Pricing

Girsanov's Theorem

The previous note showed that multiplying by Mt=emBt−m2t/2M_t = e^{mB_t - m^2 t/2} (a constant-drift exponential martingale) changes the drift of BtB_t from 00 to mm. Girsanov's theorem extends this to time-varying drift processes AtA_t: if Mt=e∫0tAs dBs−12∫0tAs2 dsM_t = e^{\int_0^t A_s \, dB_s - \frac{1}{2}\int_0^t A_s^2 \, ds} is a martingale, then under the measure Q\mathbb{Q} with dQ/dP∣Ft=Mtd\mathbb{Q}/d\mathbb{P}|_{\mathcal{F}_t} = M_t, the process W~t=Bt−∫0tAs ds\tilde{W}_t = B_t - \int_0^t A_s \, ds is a standard Q\mathbb{Q}-Brownian motion.
In finance, At=(μt−r)/σtA_t = (\mu_t - r)/\sigma_t is the instantaneous market price of risk — it can vary with the current stock price, volatility, or time. Girsanov's theorem is what allows stochastic volatility models (Heston, SABR) to have a risk-neutral measure: even when AtA_t is random, as long as the Novikov condition holds, the change of measure is valid.
Learning objectives. By the end of this note you should be able to:
  • State Girsanov's Theorem (Theorem 5.3.1) and identify each component.
  • Explain the role of the exponential martingale as the Radon-Nikodym derivative.
  • State the Novikov condition and explain why it ensures MtM_t is a true martingale.
  • Compute the drift under the new measure Q\mathbb{Q} given the density process.
  • Apply Girsanov's theorem to identify the risk-neutral measure for GBM.

In this lesson

  1. The General Setup
  2. The Girsanov Theorem
  3. The Novikov Condition
  4. The Local Martingale Form
  5. Examples
  6. The Abstract Bayes Formula (Dynamic)

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