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Stochastic Calculus / Change of Measure, Girsanov, and Risk-Neutral Pricing

Giving Drift to Brownian Motion

There are two ways to make a fair game unfair: add a deterministic drift, or change the probabilities. For Brownian motion, these are exactly the same thing. A BM with drift mm under P\mathbb{P} is the same in law as a standard BM under the measure Q\mathbb{Q} defined by dQ/dP∣Ft=emBt−m2t/2d\mathbb{Q}/d\mathbb{P}|_{\mathcal{F}_t} = e^{mB_t - m^2 t/2}.

This exponential martingale Mt=emBt−m2t/2M_t = e^{mB_t - m^2 t/2} is the concrete Radon-Nikodym density from the previous note specialized to Brownian motion. Its SDE is dMt=mMt dBtdM_t = m M_t \, dB_t — it is the Doléans-Dade exponential of mBtmB_t, and it is a P\mathbb{P}-martingale (with EP[Mt]=1\mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{P}}[M_t] = 1 for all tt). Under the new measure Q\mathbb{Q}, the original BM BtB_t acquires drift mm and becomes a BM with drift.
In finance, m=−(μ−r)/σm = -(\mu-r)/\sigma is the negative of the Sharpe ratio (or market price of risk). Under Q\mathbb{Q}, every asset earns the risk-free rate rr, not μ\mu — and the exponential martingale is exactly the density converting between the two measures.
Learning objectives. By the end of this note you should be able to:
  • Define the exponential martingale Mt=emBt−m2t/2M_t = e^{mB_t - m^2 t/2} and state its SDE.
  • Verify EP[Mt]=1\mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{P}}[M_t] = 1 (so the new measure is well-defined).
  • Prove BtB_t has drift mm under Q\mathbb{Q} using the conditional MGF.
  • Apply the measure change to compute the first-passage probability for BM with drift.
  • Identify the market price of risk in the GBM context.

In this lesson

  1. The Exponential Martingale
  2. Defining the New Measure
  3. Brownian Motion with Drift Under Q\mathbb{Q}
  4. Finance Application: GBM Drift Removal
  5. First-Passage Probabilities via Measure Change

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