Top seed meeting the third-best player in the final
Question
In a single-elimination tournament, players with all-different ratings are placed into a bracket uniformly at random, and every game is won by the higher-rated player. The event runs for rounds, the last being the final. What is the probability that the final is played between the best player and the third-best player?
Short answer
. The final is between the two half-bracket winners, so we need the second-best player in the top player's half of 64 and the third-best in the other half. That happens with probability .
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Sample Spaces, Events, and the Probability Axioms
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
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