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Rolls until neighbouring faces appear in a row

Question

A fair six-sided die is rolled repeatedly. You stop as soon as two successive rolls differ by exactly 11 (for example a 44 followed by a 33 or a 55). What is the expected total number of rolls?

Short answer

23951\tfrac{239}{51}. Let EiE_i be the expected number of further rolls when the last roll was ii; by symmetry E1=E6E_1=E_6, E2=E5E_2=E_5, E3=E4E_3=E_4. Each EiE_i equals 11 plus 16\tfrac16 times the sum of EjE_j over faces jj not adjacent to ii, a 3×33\times3 linear system. Solving and averaging gives the answer 1+16∑iEi=239511+\tfrac16\sum_i E_i=\tfrac{239}{51}.

Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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