Red cherry chance after moving half a bowl
Question
Bowl contains red and purple cherries, while bowl contains red and purple cherries. Half of the cherries in bowl , chosen at random, are moved into bowl . A single cherry is then drawn at random from bowl . What is the probability it is red?
Short answer
. After the move bowl holds cherries: came from (each red with probability ) and were already there (red with probability ). By total probability, .
Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
See the hint and the full worked solution in the question bank (free account).
Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
- Sample Spaces, Events, and the Probability Axioms
Start with a free lesson: Probability Fundamentals is part of a free topic. Create a free account, no card needed, to read it in full with worked solutions.
Read it free