Expected vegetables eaten in a reroll die game
Question
You roll a fair six-sided die and eat as many Brussels sprouts as the number shown. If the roll was or higher, the game stops there. If it was a or , you eat that many sprouts and must roll again, repeating until a roll of or more ends the game. What is the expected total number of sprouts you eat?
Short answer
. Condition on the first roll: with probability it is or (average ) and the game restarts; with probability it is – (average ) and stops. So , which solves to .
Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
See the hint and the full worked solution in the question bank (free account).
Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Counting and Combinatorics
- Expectation, Mean, and Variance
Start with a free lesson: Expectation, Variance and Covariance is part of a free topic. Create a free account, no card needed, to read it in full with worked solutions.
Read it free