Only the number seven left unchosen
Question
Seven people each pick a number uniformly at random from , independently. Given that no one picked , what is the probability that is the only number in the set that no one picked?
Short answer
. Conditioned on avoiding , all choices from are equally likely. Using all six values with seven people means one value is chosen twice: ways to pick the pair, ways to assign the six values, so .
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Counting and Combinatorics
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
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