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One king, queen and jack before the two of hearts

Question

A well-shuffled deck is dealt face up one card at a time until the two of hearts turns up. Find the probability that, before it appears, exactly one king, exactly one queen and exactly one jack have been dealt.

Short answer

16715\tfrac{16}{715}. Only the relative order of the 1313 relevant cards (the four kings, four queens, four jacks and the two of hearts) matters. The first four of them must be one king, one queen and one jack in any order and then the two of hearts: 3!⋅43=3843!\cdot 4^3=384 favourable sequences out of 1716017160 equally likely ones.

Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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