Expected tosses for a run of ten heads
Question
A fair coin is tossed repeatedly until it has shown heads times in a row. What is the expected total number of tosses?
Short answer
. Let be the expected tosses needed for a run of heads. To get in a row you first need in a row, then one more toss; half the time that toss is a tail and you restart, so . With this gives , and .
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Expectation, Mean, and Variance
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
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