Coin bias making a tie as likely as one player winning
Question
Brad and Chad each flip their own coin, both with heads probability , until they see a first head. Let be the event that Brad needs strictly fewer flips than Chad, the event that Chad needs strictly fewer flips than Brad, and the event that they need the same number. For which is ?
Short answer
. By symmetry , so all three events must have probability . A tie has probability with , and gives .
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Random Variables and Probability Mass Functions
- Sample Spaces, Events, and the Probability Axioms
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
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