All random points on a circle in one half
Question
Pick points independently and uniformly on the circumference of a circle. What is the probability that some semicircle contains all of them?
Short answer
. For each point, the event that all the others lie in the semicircle running clockwise from it has probability . These events are disjoint (at most one point can be the clockwise-first point of such a semicircle) and their union is the target event, so the probability is .
Adapted from Zhou, A Practical Guide to Quantitative Finance Interviews, sec. 4.1 Basic Probability Definitions and Set Operations, 'N points on a circle', p.62; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Probability via Integration: PDFs, CDFs, and Expected Value
- Continuous Random Variables and Probability Density Functions
- Cumulative Distribution Functions
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