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Agent Investment Committee

Which agents sit on the committee, how are their votes combined, and when is an agent benched, so that the committee beats the best single agent and the unscreened book after costs?

Headline result

Built a five-seat point-in-time voting committee (two news readers, an earnings-release reader, value-profitability and momentum rules) on 100 S&P 500 names, after small dated LLMs gave 0 valid votes in 200 calls. Scored once over Jan 2018 to Dec 2023, majority voting earned a Sharpe of −0.16 against 0.02 for no screen.

Figures

  • False-positive correlation matrix of the five committee seats over 47 development months
    The two news seats are the most redundant pair at 0.45, just under the pre-registered 0.5 bloc threshold.
  • Cumulative excess return of majority rule, classical seat, filings-lexicon seat and no screen, 2018 to 2023
    Majority voting trailed throughout, ending at a Sharpe of −0.16 against 0.02 for no screen and 0.35 for the filings seat.
  • Annualised NLS-GMV Sharpe ratio of every committee rule and single seat, Jan 2018 to Dec 2023
    The filings-lexicon seat (0.35) and majority plus benching (0.24) led; the pre-registered majority rule scored −0.16.
  • Sharpe ratios predicted by synthetic studies against those realised on real data, for five screens
    Synthetic studies predicted 0.54 for majority voting; on real data it scored −0.16, because the real seats showed almost no skill.

Data used

  • SEC EDGAR 8-K earnings releases (item 2.02), 4,028 releases from 99 of 100 firms, 2014–2023
  • FNSPID news headlines, 3.91m after cleaning, 2013–2023
  • S&P 500 prices and characteristics from the AS free route (FNSPID, Nasdaq.com, SEC XBRL) for 100 sampled members

Source paper

Caner, Capponi, Sun and Tan (2026), Designing Agentic AI-Based Screening for Portfolio Investment

Builds on Agentic AI Screening for Portfolio Investment: Replicate, Audit, Extend.

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