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Portfolio Theory and Quantitative Investment / Portfolio Optimisation and Quant Portfolio Construction

IC, IR and the Fundamental Law

How do you measure whether an investment process is any good — and how good can it be, given the skill of its signals? This note builds the measurement theory: the Sharpe and Information Ratios at the strategy level, the Information Coefficient at the signal level, and the chain of identities connecting them — culminating in the Fundamental Law of Active Management, IR=IC‾NIR = \overline{IC}\sqrt{N}, the single most quoted equation in active management. Two ideas deserve special attention: the reinterpretation of IR as a t-statistic (performance measurement is hypothesis testing), and the exact decomposition of realised alpha into five multiplicative components, which tells you precisely which levers a manager can pull.
Learning objectives. By the end of this note you should be able to:
  • define SR and IR, apply the institutional yardsticks, and convert IR to a t-statistic;
  • define the single-period cross-sectional IC and test whether a factor's mean IC is positive;
  • derive the alpha decomposition αt=c(N−1) ICt dis⁡(f)dis⁡(r)\alpha_t = c(N-1)\,IC_t\,\operatorname{dis}(f)\operatorname{dis}(r) and interpret all five components;
  • derive IR=IC‾/std⁡(IC)IR = \overline{IC}/\operatorname{std}(IC) and, with the sampling-noise assumption, the Fundamental Law;
  • state the Law's caveats and its constrained extension IR≈TC⋅ICNIR \approx TC\cdot IC\sqrt{N}.

In this lesson

  1. 3.1 Strategy-level ratios
  2. 3.2 Signal-level skill: the information coefficient
  3. 3.3 Decomposing portfolio alpha
  4. 3.4 Ex ante IR and the Fundamental Law

The full lesson, with worked examples and exercise solutions, is for members.

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