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Convertible Arbitrage / Convertible Valuation

Derivation — Cash-Only vs Equity Split and the TF Critique

A cash/equity split can produce a reasonable convertible price while failing to describe the cash flows of a self-financing default hedge. The desk needs to understand that distinction before interpreting TF value as a complete credit model. This lesson derives the continuation equations and explains the AFV critique through the default term missing from the split.
Learning objectives. Derive the coupled TF equations, apply the exercise constraints, and explain why an explicit stock jump and recovery change the pricing operator.
Setup 1 (The running contract). All amounts are dollars per bond. Face is 1,0001{,}000, conversion ratio is 16 shares, spot is 5050, maturity is five years, and annual coupons are 6060 at years 1–5. Conversion is available at every lattice date. The issuer can call for 1,0001{,}000 from year 2 inclusive to maturity exclusive, only when spot is at least 81.25=1.30(1000/16)81.25=1.30(1000/16). The holder has a 1,0201{,}020 put at year 3. Rates are continuously compounded: r=7%r=7\%, dividend yield q=0q=0, volatility 30%30\%, and credit spread s=4%s=4\%.
Coupons are paid before same-date exercise, including conversion; call and put prices exclude that coupon. Between dates there is no accrued-interest payment on conversion. At maturity the payoff is 60+max⁡(1000,16ST)60+\max(1000,16S_T). This explicit teaching convention differs from contracts that forfeit the final coupon on conversion. The spot trigger is a simplified soft call: it does not claim to implement a rolling 20-of-30-day test.

In this lesson

  1. From a rollback to an equation
  2. What TF leaves unspecified
  3. Comparison on the running contract
  4. Practical decision

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