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Convertible Arbitrage / Convertible Valuation

Convexity, Break-Even and Why Trees Are Needed

A coupon advantage can make a convertible look attractive even when its issuer can call away the premium before the income is earned. The desk needs a screen that acknowledges its limits and a valuation method that honours the contract. This lesson connects income break-even to convexity and explains why the running contract requires a lattice rather than a static bond-plus-call price.

Learning objectives. Compute both break-even measures, distinguish convexity from profitable hedging, and identify the contract decisions that need backward induction.
Setup 1 (The running contract). All amounts are dollars per bond. Face is 1,0001{,}000, conversion ratio is 16 shares, spot is 5050, maturity is five years, and annual coupons are 6060 at years 1–5. Conversion is available at every lattice date. The issuer can call for 1,0001{,}000 from year 2 inclusive to maturity exclusive, only when spot is at least 81.25=1.30(1000/16)81.25=1.30(1000/16). The holder has a 1,0201{,}020 put at year 3. Rates are continuously compounded: r=7%r=7\%, dividend yield q=0q=0, volatility 30%30\%, and credit spread s=4%s=4\%.
Coupons are paid before same-date exercise, including conversion; call and put prices exclude that coupon. Between dates there is no accrued-interest payment on conversion. At maturity the payoff is 60+max⁡(1000,16ST)60+\max(1000,16S_T). This explicit teaching convention differs from contracts that forfeit the final coupon on conversion. The spot trigger is a simplified soft call: it does not claim to implement a rolling 20-of-30-day test.

In this lesson

  1. Income is a screen, not a price
  2. Convexity and paid hedging
  3. Why the European package is insufficient

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