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Probability II / The Poisson Process and Renewal Theory

Transformations: Non-Homogeneous and Spatial Poisson Processes

This note closes the Poisson-process toolkit with two further generalisations: thinning with a position-dependent keep probability (which turns a homogeneous process into a non-homogeneous one, and gives a strikingly clean formula for the number of "calls in progress" in a simple queueing model), the order-statistics property (conditional on nn arrivals by time tt, their locations are exactly as if nn points were thrown uniformly at random), and the spatial Poisson process (replacing the time axis with Rd\mathbb{R}^d entirely). Each is a genuinely reusable tool: the M/G/1 result is the ancestor of every "number of items currently in service" queueing formula in the next topic, and the order-statistics property underlies the standard technique for simulating a Poisson process on a computer.
Learning objectives. By the end of this note you should be able to:
  • state the position-dependent thinning theorem and use it to derive the stationary number of calls in an M/G/1-type system;
  • state the order-statistics property of the Poisson process and use it for conditional probability calculations;
  • define a spatial Poisson process and state its two defining properties.

In this lesson

  1. Position-dependent thinning
  2. The order-statistics property
  3. Spatial Poisson processes

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