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Financial Machine Learning / Financial labels, weights and memory

Fractional differentiation

An event classifier that should know how far a residual sits from equilibrium cannot be trained on a wandering level, and it also cannot be trained only on a one-step change if that level is the signal. Integer differencing is one end of a continuum, not a guarantee that the feature is stationary or that the feature process is Markov. This note derives the weights of (1−L)d(1-L)^d, the fixed-width truncation used in practice, and the limits of picking d∗d^* from an ADF grid, then freezes that choice inside the training window.

Learning objectives. By the end of this note you should be able to:
  • derive the weight recursion for (1−L)d(1-L)^d and compute the first weights;
  • state what a first difference removes, and what it does not imply about stationarity or the Markov property;
  • apply a fixed-width fractional difference to a short series;
  • choose a candidate d∗d^* with an ADF grid and name the limitations of that choice;
  • freeze the weights inside the training window of the event classifier.

In this lesson

  1. Weights of (1−L)d(1-L)^d
  2. What a first difference does not do
  3. Fixed-width window
  4. Choosing d∗d^* from an ADF grid
  5. Feature policy for the event classifier

Before you start

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