Question
Let dM=σMdWt. Two attempts at finding dlnM2 are shown below; they disagree, so one contains an error. Put a=1 if the mistake is in Method 1 and a=2 if it is in Method 2, and let l be the number of the first wrong line in that method. Give 100a+l.
Method 1
(1)dM2=(M2)′dM+21(M2)′′d[M,M](2)dM2=2MdM+d[M,M](3)dM2=2σM2dWt+σ2M2dt(4)M2dM2=2σdWt+σ2dt(5)dlnM2=2σdWt+σ2dt
Method 2
(1)dlnM2=(lnM2)′dM+21(lnM2)′′d[M,M](2)dlnM2=M22MdM+21(M22M)′d[M,M](3)dlnM2=M2dM+21(M2)′d[M,M](4)dlnM2=M2dM−21⋅M22d[M,M](5)dlnM2=M2dM−M21d[M,M](6)dlnM2=2σdW−σ2dtShort answer
105. Method 1 breaks at line 5: dM2/M2 is not dlnM2, because the Ito correction from the quadratic variation is dropped. A quick check is lnM2=2lnM with dlnM=σdW−21σ2dt, which matches Method 2's 2σdW−σ2dt.
Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
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