Law of a Brownian path pinned at both ends
Question
A Brownian motion satisfies and is conditioned on . For , what is the distribution of ?
Short answer
. is bivariate normal with and , so Gaussian conditioning gives mean (linear interpolation) and variance . The variance is largest at the midpoint and vanishes at both ends.
Adapted from Joshi, Denson & Downes, Quant Job Interview Questions and Answers, Q3.52, p.85; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- The Four Faces of Brownian Motion
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
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