GARCH models for time-varying volatility
Question
What is GARCH and why is it used for financial returns?
Short answer
Generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity: a model where variance depends on past shocks and past variance. The basic form is . It captures volatility clustering and fat-tailed unconditional returns and gives volatility forecasts that mean-revert to a long-run level; variants such as EGARCH and GJR add asymmetry so falls raise volatility more than rises.
Adapted from Wilmott, Frequently Asked Questions in Quantitative Finance, FAQ 35, p.164; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
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- Populations, Samples, and Sampling Distributions
- Series and the Geometric Series: Partial Sums and Convergence
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