Explaining the GARCH(1,1) volatility model
Question
Explain in plain language what a GARCH(1,1) model does, then write down its equations and say what each parameter represents.
Short answer
Variance today is a weighted mix of a long-run level, yesterday's squared shock and yesterday's variance. With , , the model is : sets the floor, is the reaction to news, is persistence. With volatility mean-reverts to , reproducing volatility clustering.
Adapted from Crack, Heard on the Street, Q3.12, p.35; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
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- Populations, Samples, and Sampling Distributions
- Series and the Geometric Series: Partial Sums and Convergence
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