Which comes first in coin tosses, HHT or HTT
Question
Audrey tosses a fair coin over and over until either the pattern or the pattern appears as three consecutive tosses. What is the probability that shows up first?
Short answer
. Leading tails are irrelevant, so start from a head and look at the next two tosses. guarantees will win, because the run of heads must end with . then gives , and then returns to the starting state. So wins with probability .
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
- Sample Spaces, Events, and the Probability Axioms
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