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Two people picking the same triangle from 8 points

Question

Eight points are given, with no three collinear. Matt and Aaron each independently choose 33 of the points uniformly at random and draw the triangle they form. What is the probability that they draw the same triangle?

Short answer

156\tfrac{1}{56}. There are (83)=56\binom83=56 equally likely triangles. Whatever Aaron picks, Matt matches it with probability 156\tfrac1{56}.

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