Six heads from a coin with a random bias
Question
A coin is chosen at random from a large collection whose head-probabilities follow the density for . You toss the chosen coin six times. What is the probability that all six tosses land heads?
Short answer
. Given bias , six heads has probability . Averaging over the density, .
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Continuous Random Variables and Probability Density Functions
- Counting and Combinatorics
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
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