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Rolls until a six given every roll is even

Question

You keep rolling a fair die until a 66 comes up, counting the final roll. Conditional on every roll in the sequence having been even, what is the expected number of rolls?

Short answer

32\tfrac32. Stop the process at the first roll that is not a 2 or 4; this time TT is geometric with success probability 46\tfrac46, and it is independent of which of 1, 3, 5, 6 ends it. The condition says that ending value is 6, which does not change the law of TT, so the answer is E[T]=64=32\mathbb{E}[T]=\tfrac{6}{4}=\tfrac32.

Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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