Most likely square for a one-or-two jumping frog
Question
A frog sits at on the number line and jumps forward repeatedly, each jump being or units with probability each. For , let be the probability the frog ever lands exactly on . What is the maximum of over all ?
Short answer
. Position is reached from or , so with , . Solving gives , which is largest at : .
Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
See the hint and the full worked solution in the question bank (free account).
Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Counting and Combinatorics
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
Start with a free lesson: Probability Fundamentals is part of a free topic. Create a free account, no card needed, to read it in full with worked solutions.
Read it free