Making a biased-coin race against a fair coin even
Question
Abby and Ben take turns tossing coins, Abby first; the first person to toss a head wins. Ben's coin is fair, while Abby's comes up heads with probability . For what value of do the two have the same probability of winning?
Short answer
. A full round with no winner has probability , so Abby wins with probability . Setting this equal to gives , so .
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Sample Spaces, Events, and the Probability Axioms
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
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