Conditional mean of one normal given the sum
Question
Let and, independently of it, . You observe that their sum equals . What is the conditional expectation of ?
Short answer
. For independent zero-mean normals, the sum is split in proportion to the variances: .
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- Continuous Random Variables and Probability Density Functions
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
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