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Catching a traffic light change in four seconds

Question

A traffic light cycles green, then yellow, then red, then back to green. It is green for 4040 seconds, yellow for 44 seconds and red for 4040 seconds. You look at it during a 44-second window starting at a uniformly random moment. What is the probability that the colour changes during your window?

Short answer

17\tfrac17. A change is seen exactly when the window starts within the last 4 seconds of whichever colour is showing. That is 44 seconds per phase, three phases, out of an 8484-second cycle: 1284=17\tfrac{12}{84}=\tfrac17.

Adapted from QuantQuestions.io; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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