Quantifying risk with numbers
Question
In mathematical terms, how is risk usually defined and measured in finance?
Short answer
Most commonly as the uncertainty of returns, measured by their standard deviation (volatility). That fits mean-variance thinking but treats upside and downside alike, so alternatives focus on the tail of losses: downside deviation, VaR (a loss quantile), expected shortfall, and stress-test or worst-case losses. Sensitivities such as the greeks measure exposure to particular risk factors.
Adapted from Wilmott, Frequently Asked Questions in Quantitative Finance, FAQ 5, p.36; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
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