One-step three-branch tree for an at-the-money call
Question
A stock starts at . Over one period it moves to one of three levels: up with probability , unchanged with probability , or down with probability . Treat these as the pricing probabilities and ignore discounting. What is today's value of a European call struck at that expires at the end of the period?
Short answer
. The terminal prices are , and ; only the up state pays, giving . Weighting by its probability gives . (A trinomial tree is incomplete, which is why the probabilities have to be supplied rather than derived.)
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Market Model and Risk-Neutral Valuation
- Option Mechanics: Calls, Puts, Moneyness, Intrinsic Value, and Exchange vs. OTC Markets
- Option Trading Strategies: Spreads, Combinations, and Payoff Engineering
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