Expected payoff of a zero-strike straddle on a normal
Question
An underlying price at expiry is modelled as , and you hold a straddle struck at , so the payoff is .
Let be the expected payoff of this straddle. It turns out that for some rational . What is ?
Short answer
. The payoff is . By symmetry , so . More generally for .
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Open the worked solutionLessons behind this question
- Expectation, Mean, and Variance
- Conditional Probability, Total Probability, and Bayes' Rule
- Worked Examples — Probability Trees, Monty Hall, and Bayesian Updating
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