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Doubling time and the rule of 70

Question

Money grows at a continuously compounded rate of rr percent per year. Explain why it takes roughly 70/r70/r years to double.

Short answer

Because ln⁡2≈0.693\ln2\approx0.693. Doubling requires e(r/100)T=2e^{(r/100)T}=2, so T=100ln⁡2r≈69.3rT=\tfrac{100\ln2}{r}\approx\tfrac{69.3}{r}, which is rounded to 70/r70/r (with annual compounding, ln⁡(1+r)<r\ln(1+r)<r makes the rule slightly optimistic, hence people sometimes use 7272).

Adapted from Joshi, Denson & Downes, Quant Job Interview Questions and Answers, Q4.2, p.148; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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