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Brady bond price when only US yields rise

Question

A 30-year Mexican Brady bond pays an 8%8\% coupon. Suppose US interest rates rise by one percentage point while Mexican rates do not move. What happens to the Brady bond's price, and why?

Short answer

It falls. A Brady bond's principal is collateralised by long US Treasury zero-coupon bonds (and part of its interest is often guaranteed too). The guaranteed pieces are valued off US yields, so a 1%1\% rise in US rates cuts their value sharply (a 30-year zero loses roughly a quarter of its value), dragging the bond's price down even though the Mexican sovereign spread is unchanged.

Adapted from Crack, Heard on the Street, Q3.14, p.35; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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