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Methods for computing value at risk

Question

Explain the main ways of calculating Value at Risk for a portfolio.

Short answer

VaR is a loss quantile: the loss not exceeded with probability α\alpha over a horizon. It can be computed parametrically (variance-covariance: assume normal returns, so VaR is about zασhz_\alpha\sigma\sqrt{h} times portfolio value, with σ\sigma from a covariance matrix and position deltas), by historical simulation (revalue today's book under past daily moves and read off the empirical quantile), or by Monte Carlo (simulate risk factors from a fitted model and revalue). Mention its weaknesses: fat tails, non-subadditivity and silence about losses beyond the quantile.

Adapted from Crack, Heard on the Street, Q5.4.23, p.54; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.

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