Methods for computing value at risk
Question
Explain the main ways of calculating Value at Risk for a portfolio.
Short answer
VaR is a loss quantile: the loss not exceeded with probability over a horizon. It can be computed parametrically (variance-covariance: assume normal returns, so VaR is about times portfolio value, with from a covariance matrix and position deltas), by historical simulation (revalue today's book under past daily moves and read off the empirical quantile), or by Monte Carlo (simulate risk factors from a fitted model and revalue). Mention its weaknesses: fat tails, non-subadditivity and silence about losses beyond the quantile.
Adapted from Crack, Heard on the Street, Q5.4.23, p.54; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
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