How headline shocks move interest rates
Question
Talk through how different kinds of news, for example a geopolitical crisis, a currency crisis or a political scandal, would likely affect interest rates.
Short answer
Reason through the channels. A geopolitical shock usually triggers a flight to quality that lowers yields on safe government bonds while spreads on risky debt widen; a currency crisis often forces the affected country to raise rates to defend its currency and draws inflows to safe havens; a political scandal can raise risk premia and the affected country's yields. Explain the mechanism each time, as effects depend on the country and context.
Adapted from Crack, Heard on the Street, Q5.3.12, p.51; question and answer rewritten by SelfMadeQuant.com.
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