Why is Brownian motion nowhere differentiable, and what does that mean when we try to model financial markets?
Brownian motion is almost surely nowhere differentiable because its increments typically scale like h over an interval of length h. A finite derivative would require changes near a point to be bounded by a constant times h. Brownian paths almost surely have fluctuations that violate that bound at every time. Financial models driven by Brownian motion use stochastic integrals and Itô's formula to handle this roughness.
Why the proof needs three neighbouring increments
The argument has to rule out a derivative at any time, including a time picked after seeing the path. Showing that the difference quotient behaves badly at each fixed deterministic time is insufficient for that conclusion. The grid proof below works simultaneously across the interval. Three small increments near a candidate point make the event rare enough even after you count every possible location on the grid.
On [0,1] use grids with spacing h=2−n. If a path has a finite derivative at some t, there is an integer M for which ∣Wu−Wt∣≤M∣u−t∣ for all sufficiently close u. On every sufficiently fine grid, choose three consecutive grid intervals whose endpoints are within 4h of t. Each of their increments must then have absolute value at most 8Mh by the triangle inequality.
For any given triple, the increments are independent N(0,h) variables. For Z∼N(0,1),
Pr(∣Z∣≤8Mh)≤CMh
for a finite constant CM, since the standard normal density is bounded. There are at most 1/h candidate triples. The union bound gives a probability at most CM3h that any triple satisfies the required inequalities. Summing this over dyadic grids is finite, so Borel–Cantelli says the event occurs only finitely often almost surely. Taking a countable union over M excludes every possible point of differentiability at once. The same reasoning on each unit interval covers all finite times.
The normal density of an increment with variance h is bounded by 1/2πh. The chance of landing in an interval of width proportional to h is therefore at most a constant times h. Three disjoint increments produce an upper bound of order h3/2 for a specified triple. There are of order 1/h candidate triples on the grid, so even after allowing all possible locations the probability is of order h. On dyadic grids these bounds are summable. This is the step that lets the argument handle a point chosen from the path itself.
What the roughness means at market timescales
In geometric Brownian motion, dlogSt=(μ−σ2/2)dt+σdWt. Over one day modelled as 1/252 years and with σ=20%, the random log return has standard deviation about 1.26%. Over one quarter of that interval, the model's standard deviation falls to about 0.63%. The size of the move falls, but the standard deviation of the move per unit time doubles.
Shorter sampling intervals make the slope a noisier estimate of instantaneous drift in this model. For pricing and hedging equations, calculus works through stochastic differentials and their quadratic variation. At very high observation frequencies, empirical prices also exhibit features such as ticks and bid–ask bounce that the continuous Brownian model abstracts away.
Interactive example
Explore a Brownian path at different resolutions
A seeded path is sampled at nested time grids. Compare the sum of squared increments with the theoretical quadratic variation of 1 at time 1.