Expanding or rolling training windows
Question
What trade-off determines whether you use expanding or fixed-length rolling training windows for a drifting financial dataset?
Short answer
Expanding windows retain more observations and can lower estimation variance if old relationships remain relevant. Rolling windows discard stale data but estimate from fewer observations. Compare both as complete historical procedures, including retraining costs and chosen window lengths. Select the rule within development periods and evaluate its stability across regimes. A rolling window is not automatically superior merely because markets change.
Original question and answer written by SelfMadeQuant.com.
See the hint and the full worked solution in the question bank (free account).
Open the worked solution