Strategy lab
Every strategy from 151 Trading Strategies and all 101 Formulaic Alphas as formulas you can edit and backtest on ten years of daily stocks, ETFs, futures, forex and crypto data. Free, in your browser.
5.12Fixed incomeBacktest
Rolling down the yield curve
On an upward-sloping curve a bond gains value as it ages into a lower-yield maturity. Hold the maturity in the steepest part of the curve and roll it regularly.
Note. Bonds are constant-maturity Treasuries priced from daily yields (carry + duration + convexity).
Edit anything; the result updates as you type. Lines like window = 20 become sliders.
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Hypothetical backtests on daily closes with no slippage unless you add costs. Survivorship bias applies: the stock list is today’s large caps. For learning, not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance via yfinance.
- Source
- 151 Trading Strategies
- Section
- 5.12 · Fixed income
- Asset class
- Fixed income
- In the lab
- Full backtest
Rolling down the yield curve (5.12)
On an upward-sloping curve a bond gains value as it ages into a lower-yield maturity. Hold the maturity in the steepest part of the curve and roll it regularly.
Key equation
Lab formula
// Roll-down ≈ duration × slope of the segment the bond rolls into
s5 = (of("5Y", yield) - of("3M", yield)) / 4.75
s10 = (of("10Y", yield) - of("5Y", yield)) / 5
s30 = (of("30Y", yield) - of("10Y", yield)) / 20
roll = (is("5Y") * s5 + is("10Y") * s10 + is("30Y") * s30) * duration
top(roll, 1)Bonds are constant-maturity Treasuries priced from daily yields (carry + duration + convexity).
How the backtest works
The formula is evaluated for every asset on every day. Its values become positions at that day’s close, using the portfolio rule you pick, and earn the next day’s close-to-close return. Costs are charged in basis points on the amount traded. Everything runs in your browser on daily data from Yahoo Finance, adjusted for splits and dividends.
More in Fixed income
- 5.2 Bullets
- 5.3 Barbells
- 5.4 Ladders
- 5.5 Bond immunisation
- 5.6 Dollar-duration-neutral butterfly
- 5.7 Fifty-fifty butterfly
Source: Kakushadze, Z. and Serur, J. A. (2018). 151 Trading Strategies. Palgrave Macmillan. SSRN 3247865. Summaries are our own.