Strategy lab
Every strategy from 151 Trading Strategies and all 101 Formulaic Alphas as formulas you can edit and backtest on ten years of daily stocks, ETFs, futures, forex and crypto data. Free, in your browser.
7.2VolatilityBacktestProxy
VIX futures basis trading
VIX futures drift towards spot VIX. When the curve is in contango, futures tend to fall, so short them; in backwardation, buy them.
Proxy. The basis uses VIX3M versus VIX instead of the front futures contract, and VIXY stands in for the futures. The paper also hedges with S&P 500 futures.
Edit anything; the result updates as you type. Lines like window = 20 become sliders.
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Hypothetical backtests on daily closes with no slippage unless you add costs. Survivorship bias applies: the stock list is today’s large caps. For learning, not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance via yfinance.
- Source
- 151 Trading Strategies
- Section
- 7.2 · Volatility
- Asset class
- Volatility
- In the lab
- Full backtest
VIX futures basis trading (7.2)
VIX futures drift towards spot VIX. When the curve is in contango, futures tend to fall, so short them; in backwardation, buy them.
Key equation
Lab formula
// Term structure from VIX3M versus VIX; trade the short-term VIX futures ETF
basis = of("^VIX3M", close) / of("^VIX", close) - 1
view = (basis > 0.05) ? -1 : ((basis < 0) ? 1 : 0)
view * is("VIXY")The basis uses VIX3M versus VIX instead of the front futures contract, and VIXY stands in for the futures. The paper also hedges with S&P 500 futures.
How the backtest works
The formula is evaluated for every asset on every day. Its values become positions at that day’s close, using the portfolio rule you pick, and earn the next day’s close-to-close return. Costs are charged in basis points on the amount traded. Everything runs in your browser on daily data from Yahoo Finance, adjusted for splits and dividends.
More in Volatility
- 7.3 Volatility carry with two ETNs
- 7.3.1 Hedging short VXX with VIX futures
- 7.4 Volatility risk premium
- 7.4.1 Volatility risk premium with gamma hedging
- 7.5 Volatility skew – long risk reversal
- 7.6 Volatility trading with variance swaps
Source: Kakushadze, Z. and Serur, J. A. (2018). 151 Trading Strategies. Palgrave Macmillan. SSRN 3247865. Summaries are our own.