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Strategy lab / 151 Trading Strategies

Strategy lab

Every strategy from 151 Trading Strategies and all 101 Formulaic Alphas as formulas you can edit and backtest on ten years of daily stocks, ETFs, futures, forex and crypto data. Free, in your browser.

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4.3Exchange-traded fundsBacktest

R-squared

Funds whose returns are poorly explained by the market (low R²) show more “selectivity”. Favour ETFs with high alpha and low R².

In the paper

Note. Single-factor R² against SPY; the paper uses four factors.

Edit anything; the result updates as you type. Lines like window = 20 become sliders.

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Hypothetical backtests on daily closes with no slippage unless you add costs. Survivorship bias applies: the stock list is today’s large caps. For learning, not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance via yfinance.

Section
4.3 · Exchange-traded funds
Asset class
ETFs
In the lab
Full backtest

R-squared (4.3)

Funds whose returns are poorly explained by the market (low R²) show more “selectivity”. Favour ETFs with high alpha and low R².

Key equation

Lab formula

mkt = of("SPY", returns)
r2 = correlation(returns, mkt, 252) ^ 2
beta = ts_beta(returns, mkt, 252)
excess = ts_mean(returns - beta * mkt, 252)
score = rank(excess) - rank(r2)
(1 - is("SPY")) * score - is("SPY") * 1000

Single-factor R² against SPY; the paper uses four factors.

How the backtest works

The formula is evaluated for every asset on every day. Its values become positions at that day’s close, using the portfolio rule you pick, and earn the next day’s close-to-close return. Costs are charged in basis points on the amount traded. Everything runs in your browser on daily data from Yahoo Finance, adjusted for splits and dividends.

More in Exchange-traded funds

Source: Kakushadze, Z. and Serur, J. A. (2018). 151 Trading Strategies. Palgrave Macmillan. SSRN 3247865. Summaries are our own.